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Friday, September 12, 2025

Trump Will Use the Murder to Punish His Opponents


Emily Davies and Michael Birnbaum at WP:
“There is an ideology that has steadily been growing in this country which hates everything that is good, righteous and beautiful and celebrates everything that is warped, twisted and depraved,” White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller wrote Thursday on X. “It is an ideology at war with family and nature. It is envious, malicious, and soulless.”

Other senior administration officials spoke of a broad plan to focus on public speech and rhetoric, declaring that those who speak in violent terms about Trump and his allies will face consequences. Some suggested a more expansive campaign, calling out schoolteachers and college instructors who have made public statements criticizing Kirk since his death, and promising to deport noncitizens who do the same.

The statements from Trump and his top advisers provided early insight into how the president will respond to both the personal loss and political juncture he faces in the wake of Kirk’s fatal shooting Wednesday on a Utah college campus. Trump appeared to be positioning himself to launch a campaign against some of Kirk’s — and his — opponents who have spoken out since the conservative activist’s death.

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Miller called out “people in positions of institutional authority,” noting the social media posts of “educators, health care workers, therapists, government employees” who he said had cheered Kirk’s death. Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau said he had directed consular officials “to undertake appropriate action” against foreign visa applicants and holders who praised or rationalized the shooting.

Thursday, September 11, 2025

Trump Exploits Kirk Murder to Demonize His Opponents


Maggie Haberman at NYT:
Mr. Trump had a close relationship with Mr. Kirk, whose ability to galvanize young conservatives with his criticisms of the left had been crucial to rallying support among a new generation of voters. Mr. Kirk was also close friends with several people in the president’s orbit, including his eldest son, Donald Jr.

But by Wednesday evening, Mr. Trump’s shock had turned to fury. In a video address from the Oval Office, Mr. Trump declared it a “dark moment for America” and faulted the media and the “radical left” for language used to describe people like Mr. Kirk.
“For years, those on the radical left have compared wonderful Americans like Charlie to Nazis and the world’s worst mass murderers and criminals,” said Mr. Trump, who one day earlier had been face-to-face with protesters in Washington who called him Hitler. “This kind of rhetoric is directly responsible for the terrorism that we’re seeing in our country today.”

Trump routinely refers to his opponents as communists.

 

Wednesday, September 10, 2025

CA GOP: AWOL in World War G

Our new book is The Comeback: The 2024 Elections and American PoliticsIt includes a chapter on congressional and state elections.

The California Legislature has approved a special election to redraw congressional district lines. Democrats stand to pick up five seats.


DUSTIN GARDINER and BLAKE JONES at POLITICO:
The California Republican Party finds itself on the periphery of a national effort by conservatives to beat back Democrats’ gerrymandering campaign.

It’s partially the result of an internal rift within the state GOP that some party strategists fear could hamper its efforts to fight redistricting — a self-inflicted wound that could put the party in a weaker position as it competes with Democrats’ fundraising machine.

A chorus of Republicans are now openly questioning the state GOP’s ability to lead the opposition to a redistricting map that could cripple their party’s influence here. …. They complain about sluggish fundraising and a lack of organization and cohesive messaging.

Instead, political committees outside of the purview of the state party apparatus and Chair Corrin Rankin are leading the effort to defeat Proposition 50, the Nov. 4 redistricting measure.

Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco, who’s running for governor, told Playbook the party has struggled to craft an anti-redistricting message that will resonate with independent voters and others beyond the Republican base.

“It’s not a cohesive, ‘All for one and one for all’” strategy, Bianco said. “We’re not coming together to say, ‘We’ve got to get the best message for everyone.’ We should be talking to California — we shouldn’t be talking to Republicans.”

Assemblymember Carl DeMaio, a Republican from San Diego and frequent critic of the state GOP, vented about what he called a lack of party leadership to fight Prop 50 during an interview at the state party convention in Orange County this past weekend — a concern echoed by several prominent attendees.

“Open communication would be helpful,” DeMaio said. “The party hasn’t done a good job of that. It’s certainly hurting us.”

Tuesday, September 9, 2025

The Smoking Birthday Drawing

  Our new book is The Comeback: The 2024 Elections and American PoliticsThe second Trump administration is has been full of ominous developments. Scandals persistEspecially Epstein. 

Khadeeja Safdar and Joe Palazzolo at WSJ:

Lawyers for Jeffrey Epstein’s estate have given Congress a copy of the birthday book put together for the financier’s 50th birthday, which includes a letter with President Trump’s signature that he has said doesn’t exist.

On Monday, House Oversight Committee members confirmed that they received a copy of the birthday book including the letter bearing Trump’s signature and a second letter that references Trump with a crude joke about a woman from another Epstein associate.

The Wall Street Journal in July reported on the book and the letter bearing Trump’s name, which contained typewritten text framed by the outline of a naked woman. The letter concluded: “Happy Birthday — and may every day be another wonderful secret.” The signature was a squiggly “Donald” below the waist, mimicking pubic hair.
Trump has denied writing the letter or drawing the picture, calling it “a fake thing.” He also filed a lawsuit against the Journal’s reporters, Journal publisher Dow Jones, parent company News Corp and executives, alleging defamation and saying the letter was “nonexistent.” A Dow Jones spokeswoman said, “We have full confidence in the rigor and accuracy of our reporting.” 



The book is a collection of letters, photographs and drawings from dozens of Mr. Epstein’s associates bound into three volumes spanning more than 200 pages. While some of the messages contain mundane birthday wishes, others offer a window into a misogynistic circle of wealthy men fixated on women and sex. Many of them included suggestive stories or crude references to Mr. Epstein’s sexual appetites, and some indicated that his friends had at least some sense that he was engaged in inappropriate behavior.

Mr. Trump is mentioned in a letter in the book that appears to have been written by Joel Pashcow, the former chairman of a real estate company in New York. A photo above the letter includes a large mock check, made to look as if it is being paid from Mr. Trump to Mr. Epstein for $22,500. Beneath it, a handwritten caption referring to Mr. Epstein’s “early talents with money and women” claims that the photo shows Mr. Epstein selling a “fully depreciated” woman to Mr. Trump.

The woman’s name and photo are redacted in the caption and the image. Lawyers for Mr. Epstein’s estate told the committee that they removed the names and photos of women and minors who appeared in the book in order to ensure that any potential victims of Mr. Epstein could not be identified, according to a copy of a letter to the committee that was viewed by The Times.

Monday, September 8, 2025

Epstein Keeps Festering

Our new book is The Comeback: The 2024 Elections and American PoliticsThe second Trump administration is has been full of ominous developments. Scandals persist.

Joshua Partlow and Mariana Alfaro at WP:
House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-Louisiana) on Sunday backed off his claim that President Donald Trump was an FBI informant in the case of sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.

While Trump has said that he kicked Epstein out of Mar-a-Lago, his members-only club in Florida, he has also recently called the latest demands for the release of more information on the Epstein case a “Democrat hoax that never ends.”

Last week, Johnson told reporters on Capitol Hill that Trump cares deeply about the crimes Epstein committed and said that Trump “was an FBI informant to try to take this stuff down.”

On Sunday, his office released a statement modifying that claim.

“The Speaker is reiterating what the victims’ attorney said, which is that Donald Trump — who kicked Epstein out of Mar-a-Lago — was the only one more than a decade ago willing to help prosecutors expose Epstein for being a disgusting child predator,” the statement from Johnson’s office read.

 Emily Brooks and Mike Lillis  at The Hill:

The debate will resume immediately this week, since an Oversight panel subpoena gave the Epstein estate a Monday deadline to deliver a host of documents that could shed light on the elite associations maintained by the disgraced financier, who died by suicide in 2019 in a jail cell where he was awaiting trial on charges of sex trafficking.

The list of records sought by the committee includes Epstein’s will, the travel logs for his private plane, anything resembling a client list, and a notorious “birthday book” assembled by Maxwell when Epstein turned 50 in 2003. That leather-bound volume reportedly contains a lewd note written by Trump when he was still a private citizen in New York, which the president has denied.

 

Sunday, September 7, 2025

Ungoverning


He is pursuing “ungoverning”: the comprehensive and intentional destruction of state capacity. As we described in Foreign Affairs in late January, ungoverning is rare in the history of politics. Authoritarians generally want to take over a state so they can use it, not so they can destroy it. They need loyalty and select for it, but they also need competence. Trump, by contrast, shreds regular procedures, shrugs off the expertise needed to bring policies to life, and promotes administrative incompetence in order to eliminate any authority other than himself. None of his decisions are about slashing bureaucratic red tape or privatizing parts of the state. Instead, he issues capricious commands and negotiates deals that serve his whims. From his first days back in the White House, Trump made it clear that he will reward anyone who breaks the law in support of him. It is why he pardoned all the January 6, 2021, insurrectionists, declaring later that “He who saves his Country does not violate any Law.”
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Prizing incompetence over expertise also explains the sweeping powers Trump gave to the billionaire tech entrepreneur Elon Musk and his Department of Government Efficiency. DOGE was not about cutting $2 trillion from the deficit, as Musk originally promised, or $1 trillion, as he later pledged, or even $150 billion, the amount he finally settled on. Instead, DOGE was the sharp end of a battering ram directed at the so-called deep state, which includes both essential operations, such as tax collection, and apolitical employees, such as the National Weather Service scientists who gather weather data. Its purpose was to hollow out the administration.

Saturday, September 6, 2025

NatCons Repudiate Lincoln, Embrace Buchanan

Our new book is The Comeback: The 2024 Elections and American PoliticsThe second Trump administration is has been full of ominous developments.  Forty years ago, conservatism reflected Reagan's sunny optimism about America.  Trump is taking conservatives to a dark place.

At Gettysburg, Lincoln said that this nation was "dedicated to the proposition that all men are created equal."  At the National Conservatism Conference, Senator Eric Schmitt repudiated Lincoln:
If America was a universal proposition, then everything we inherited from our specific Western heritage had to be abolished. So the statues come down. The names are changed. Yesterday’s heroes become today’s villains. The story of the nation has to be rewritten to align America with its true creed.

On the Right, the situation wasn’t all that different. The truth is, by the 1990s, too many on the Right had come to accept the same basic worldview as the liberal elites they claimed to oppose.

In foreign policy, trade, immigration and the domestic culture wars, too many conservatives defined the American identity as nothing more than an abstract and vaguely-defined proposition. Even if you didn’t want to immigrate here, you would be made to submit to that proposition anyway, via military crusades to bring Madisonian democracy to the furthest corners of the world.
For years, conservatives would talk as if the whole world were just Americans-in-waiting—“born American, but in the wrong place.” America was, as one neoconservative writer put it, “The First Universal Nation.”

That’s what set Donald Trump apart from the old conservatism and the old liberalism alike: He knows that America is not just an abstract “proposition,” but a nation and a people, with its own distinct history and heritage and interests.

 Ben Jacobs at Politico:

At the National Conservatism Conference in Washington this week, perhaps the second biggest applause line came when Rep. Riley Moore (R-W.Va.) discussed his effort to award Buchanan the Presidential Medal of Freedom on the stage. The only bigger reaction came when Trump border czar Tom Homan espoused the hardline immigration rhetoric that once made Buchanan an outlier within the GOP.

For Moore, Buchanan deserved the highest civilian honor in the United States because “he was right about pretty much everything 20 years before most people realized it.” In contrast, he told POLITICO Nightly, George H.W. Bush was “wrong about almost everything.”

The conference wasn’t exactly a welcoming venue for those who adhere to the brand of Republican politics that had dominated at the end of the 20th century and the dawn of the 21st century. Even the speaker delegated to defend Trump’s airstrikes against Iranian nuclear sites, Max Abrahms, a professor at Northeastern University, took pains to insist he was not “a neo-con” — an even more deadly pejorative than “liberal” at the venue.

Buchanan has been revered by the under-30 crowd basically the entire time that I’ve been working in professional politics,” explained Nick Solheim, the head of American Moment, an influential right wing nonprofit. “[P]eople have been posting vaporwave edits of Pat Buchanan since 2016.”
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David Tell, a former aide to Bush on his 1992 campaign, agrees that Buchanan’s platform is eerily similar to the policies of Trump’s GOP. However, he added, there’s now a “Huey Long element not previously present in American conservatism.”