Unusual aspects of 2024:
- Biden is the oldest-ever major candidate. Trump is close behind.
 - Trump seeks to be the first former president since Cleveland to regain the White House.
 - Trump is the first major-party candidate to run while under indictment. There was a minor-party candidate who got a million votes while in prison.
 
But early polls are not a reliable guide
Five ways Biden could lose:
1.  Recession
3.  Scandal
4.  Spoiler
Two ways Trump could lose:
1.  Age and health
2.    Indictment tipping point
- Documents
 - Georgia
 - New survey: