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Defying the Odds

Defying the Odds
New book about the 2016 election.

Thursday, June 9, 2011

Palin Poll Data

A CBS poll finds that Republicans do not want Sarah Palin in the race:

Most Republicans do not want to see former Alaska governor Sarah Palin enter the presidential race, a new CBS News poll finds.

Fifty-four percent of Republican registered voters want Palin to stay out of the race, as do 50 percent of Tea Party supporters. Just 34 percent of Republicans and 38 percent of Tea Party supporters want her to seek the Republican nomination. Overall, two-thirds of registered voters want Palin to stay out of the race.

Republicans are split on opinions of Palin overall: Thirty-seven percent have a favorable view, 36 percent have an unfavorable view, and 25 percent have no opinion. Her favorable rating among all voters, meanwhile, is just 21 percent, with 57 percent holding an unfavorable view.

The Republican presidential candidate with the highest net favorability rating among Republican voters is Mitt Romney, who has a 37 percent favorable rating and an 11 percent unfavorable rating. But despite Romney's relatively high profile, half say they don't know enough about him or have no opinion.

A June 2-5 Washington Post poll offers similarly discouraging news:

The balance of public opinion is decidedly against a Sarah Palin run for president. Nearly two-thirds — 64 percent — flatly rule out supporting her in 2012; 28 percent would consider it; and just 7 percent are committed to voting for her.

In the Republican former governor of Alaska decides to join the race, the numbers leave a lot of convincing ahead, even within her base. Across a variety of Republican-aligned groups, there is steep opposition to Sen. John McCain’s 2008 running mate.

Among Republicans overall, 42 percent would definitely not vote for her, and 14 percent say they would definitely support her. Palin was in a better position among Republicans in 2009 and 2010, when fewer than three in 10 flatly rejected her and majorities said they would consider voting for her.