Search This Blog

Defying the Odds

Defying the Odds
New book about the 2016 election.

Friday, April 20, 2018

Half Past Trump: The 2018 Midterm Elections


Midterm Losses:  the president's party usually loses seats in the House, often in the Senate as well.

Approval:  the losses are more severe when the president is unpopular. And Trump is unpopular.


rakich-trump-approval-0213_net


The House  the generic ballot, and seat ratings

Lots of R retirements


Lots of D candidates, with money

This Tuesday, watch a special election in Arizona.

Senate races:  the map constrains Democratic gains

Governorships