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Defying the Odds

Defying the Odds
New book about the 2016 election.

Friday, April 20, 2018

Half Past Trump: The 2018 Midterm Elections

Midterm Losses:  the president's party usually loses seats in the House, often in the Senate as well.

Approval:  the losses are more severe when the president is unpopular. And Trump is unpopular.


The House  the generic ballot, and seat ratings

Lots of R retirements

Lots of D candidates, with money

This Tuesday, watch a special election in Arizona.

Senate races:  the map constrains Democratic gains