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Defying the Odds

Defying the Odds
New book about the 2016 election.

Saturday, April 14, 2018

Three Californias? A Bizarro Deal for Republicans

 In Defying the Odds,  we have a discussion of California's role the 2016 campaign.

Tim Draper wants to split California into three states:  the Democratic Bay Area and Northern California, the Democratic Los Angeles area, and everything else.  For Republicans thinking that they might gain something in the Electoral College, think again.  Clinton would have carried all three states.  So instead of carrying one big state with 55 electoral votes, she would have carried three smaller states with a total of 59 electoral votes.






Clinton Trump
San Diego 735,476 477,766
San Bernardino 340,833 271,240
Orange 609,961 507,148
Riverside 373,695 333,243
Mono 2,773 2,111
Madera 17,029 23,357
Inyo 3,155 4,248
Tulare 47,585 58,299
Fresno 141,341 124,049
Kings 13,617 18,093
Kern 98,689 129,584
Imperial 32,667 12,704

2,416,821 1,961,842



Los Angeles 2,464,364 769,743
Ventura 194,402 132,323
Santa Barbara 107,142 56,365
San Luis Obispo 67,107 56,164
Monterey 89,088 34,895
San Benito 12,521 7,841

2,934,624 1,057,331



Alameda 514,842 95,922
Alpine 334 217
Amador 6,004 10,485
Butte 41,567 45,144
Calaveras 7,944 13,511
Colusa 2,661 3,551
Contra Costa 319,287 115,956
Del Norte 3,485 5,134
El Dorado 36,404 49,247
Glenn 3,065 5,788
Humboldt 33,200 18,373
Lake 11,500 10,603
Lassen 2,224 7,574
Marin 108,707 21,771
Mariposa 3,122 5,185
Mendocino 22,079 10,888
Merced 37,317 28,725
Modoc 877 2,696
Napa 39,199 17,411
Nevada 26,053 23,365
Placer 73,509 95,138
Plumas 3,459 5,420
Sacramento 326,023 189,789
San Francisco 345,084 37,688
San Joaquin 121,124 88,936
San Mateo 237,882 57,929
Santa Clara 511,684 144,826
Santa Cruz 95,249 22,438
Shasta 22,301 51,778
Sierra 601 1,048
Siskiyou 7,234 11,341
Solano 102,360 51,920
Sonoma 160,435 51,408
Stanislaus 81,647 78,494
Sutter 13,076 18,176
Tehama 6,809 15,494
Trinity 2,214 2,812
Tuolumne 9,123 14,551
Yolo 54,752 20,739
Yuba 7,910 13,170

3,402,347 1,464,641