Our recent book is titled Divided We Stand: The 2020 Elections and American Politics. Among other things, it discusses the state of the parties. The state of the GOP is not good. Trump is now under indictment. And there are signs that the tide is turning against the GOP.
Reid J. Epstein at NYT:
Pre-election chatter that Trump indictment could juice GOP performance in Wisconsin didn't happen - this showing looks worse than the D margin in the first round— Kyle Kondik (@kkondik) April 5, 2023
Just like back in August when the Mar-a-Lago search didn't appear to help Rs in some House specials later that month
Wisconsin voters on Tuesday chose to upend the political direction of their state by electing a liberal candidate to the State Supreme Court, flipping majority control from conservatives, according to The Associated Press. The result means that in the next year, the court is likely to reverse the state’s abortion ban and end the use of gerrymandered legislative maps drawn by Republicans.
Janet Protasiewicz, a liberal Milwaukee County judge, overwhelmingly defeated Daniel Kelly, a conservative former Wisconsin Supreme Court justice who sought a return to the bench. With more than 95 percent of votes counted by Wednesday morning, Judge Protasiewicz led by 11 percentage points, a huge margin in the narrowly divided state.
In 2020, Wisconsin’s Supreme Court was the only one in the country to agree to hear President Donald J. Trump’s challenge to the presidential election. Mr. Trump sought to invalidate 200,000 ballots from the state’s two largest Democratic counties. The Wisconsin court rejected his claim on a 4-to-3 vote, with one of the conservative justices siding with the court’s three liberals on procedural grounds.
That key vote gave this year’s court race extra importance, because the justices will weigh in on voting and election issues surrounding the 2024 election. Wisconsin, where Mr. Trump’s triumph in 2016 interrupted a string of Democratic presidential victories going back to 1988, is set to again be ferociously contested.
...Once Judge Protasiewicz assumes her place on the court on Aug. 1, the first priority for Wisconsin Democrats will be to bring a case to challenge the current legislative maps, which have given Republicans all but unbreakable control of the state government in Madison.
FIRST ALERT: AP projects Republican Dan Knodl won the special election for Wisconsin's 8th Senate district. Knodl has said he wants to impeach Milwaukee judges, including Janet Protasiewicz. Now the Legislature would have the votes to do it. https://t.co/rdCj30WOo1— WBAY-TV 2 (@WBAY) April 5, 2023