Our most recent book is titled Divided We Stand: The 2020 Elections and American Politics. The 2024 race has begun.
Do voters want a rerun of the 2020 presidential election? Not really. Majorities don't want either of the major-party candidates to run again. Among registered voters in the latest Economist/YouGov Poll, 59% say President Joe Biden should not run again, and 61% say that former President Donald Trump should not.
Here is the breakdown of opinion on a 2024 rematch:
Overall, 87% say they don't want at least one of Biden or Trump to run in 2024. One in three registered Democratic voters (34%) don’t want Biden to be their party’s candidate in 2024, and about the same share of GOP registered voters (31%) don't want Trump to run. Half of Republicans (50%) would like to see Trump run, more than the 34% of Democrats who support a Biden re-election attempt. Far more Democrats than Republicans aren’t sure if they want their party’s 2020 standard-bearer to be on the ballot again. Majorities of Independents don’t want either man to run in 2024.
- 31% want neither Biden nor Trump to run
- 14% want Biden to run but don't want Trump to run
- 15% aren't sure about Biden and don't want Trump to run
- 8% aren't sure about Trump and don't want Biden to run
- 19% want Trump to run but don't want Biden to run
- 9% either are unsure about both men or want one to run and are unsure about the other
- Just 4% want both Biden and Trump to run