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Defying the Odds

Defying the Odds
New book about the 2016 election.

Wednesday, May 6, 2020

Democrats Could Win the Senate

In Defying the Odds, we discuss state and congressional elections as well as the presidential race. The update looks at political and demographic trends through the 2018 midterm.  Our next book will explain 2020. As of early May, the signs are negative for the GOP.

Neal Rothschild, Alexi McCammond at Axios:
Driving the news: Polls released Tuesday show Montana Gov. Steve Bullock (D) leading incumbent Sen. Steve Daines (R) by 7 points (sample size: 738) and North Carolina Democratic candidate Cal Cunningham beating Republican Sen. Thom Tillis by 9 points (sample size: 1,362).
Other recent numbers show an upward trend for Democrats: