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Defying the Odds

Defying the Odds
New book about the 2016 election.

Monday, April 22, 2019

Mueller Report: Polling and Targeting

In Defying the Odds, we discuss Trump's dishonesty and his record of disregarding the rule of law.   The update  -- just published --includes a chapter on the 2018 midterms.

From the Mueller report (volume 1, p. 140), a description of an August 2 meeting between Paul Manafort (with Rick Gates and Ukrainian/Russian fixer Konstantin Kilimnik
Manafort briefed Kilimnik on the state of the Trump Campaign and Manafort's
plan to win the election. That briefing encompassed the Campaign's messaging and its internal polling data. According to Gates, it also included discussion of "battleground" states, which Manafort identified as Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Minnesota. Manafort did not refer explicitly to "battleground" states in his telling of the August 2 discussion.
 On October 4, 2017, Manu Raju, Dylan Byers and Dana Bash reported at CNN:
A number of Russian-linked Facebook ads specifically targeted Michigan and Wisconsin, two states crucial to Donald Trump's victory last November, according to four sources with direct knowledge of the situation. Some of the Russian ads appeared highly sophisticated in their targeting of key demographic groups in areas of the states that turned out to be pivotal, two of the sources said. The ads employed a series of divisive messages aimed at breaking through the clutter of campaign ads online, including promoting anti-Muslim messages, sources said.