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Defying the Odds

Defying the Odds
New book about the 2016 election.

Sunday, September 29, 2019

Impeachment Opinion Starts to Shift

In Defying the Odds, we discuss Trump's dishonesty and his record of disregarding the rule of law.     The update  -- recently published --includes a chapter on the 2018 midterms. Impeachment is becoming likely.

From CBS News:
More than half of Americans — and an overwhelming number of Democrats — say they approve of the fact that Congress has opened an impeachment inquiry into President Trump. But as the inquiry begins, there is no national consensus on how to assess the president's actions.

Partisans have immediately and predictably split: most Democrats call the president's handling of matters with Ukraine illegal, and deserving of impeachment.
Most Republicans call his actions proper — or, even if improper, then still legal — and feel they're an example of things that past presidents typically did, too. Most Americans think that because Congress is now taking up the matter, it will be unable to work on other issues.

FiveThirtyEight on September 27: 
Most early polls show uptick in support for impeachment
The final poll conducted in April, July and September* from pollsters that have released a poll after news about Trump’s call to the Ukrainian president first broke on Sept. 20
SUPPORT FOR IMPEACHMENT IN POLLS TAKEN …
POLLSTERPOST-MUELLER REPORT (4/18)POST-MUELLER TESTIMONY (7/24)POST-UKRAINE NEWS (9/20)OVERALL CHANGE
YouGov/HuffPost**37%41%47%+10
Morning Consult/Politico343743+9
Quinnipiac293237+8
HarrisX/ScottRasmussen.com424344+2
Ipsos/Reuters4039-1
SurveyMonkey/Business Insider45
*For polls released before Sept. 27, 2019.
**The post-Mueller-testimony YouGov/HuffPost number is from a poll conducted Aug. 9-10; that pollster’s July poll was conducted before the testimony.
Polls started on or after the relevant date with the exception of the post-Ukraine Quinnipiac poll, which started the day before that story broke. Different polls survey different subsets of the U.S. population (e.g. all adults, registered voters, likely voters).
SOURCE: POLLS