Our new book is The Comeback: The 2024 Elections and American Politics. It includes a chapter on congressional and state elections. The passage of Prop 50 in CA will offset the Texas gerrymander. The D victory in VA will partly offset GOP gerrymanders elsewhere.
Indiana lawmakers' rejection of a plan to create two more Republican congressional seats Thursday delivered a blow to the White House's scramble to redistrict ahead of midterm elections, but the state isn't the only egg in President Trump's basket.
The big picture: Six states have already implemented new congressional maps, and more could follow.
Republicans hold only a narrow lead in the House of Representatives, 220 seats to Democrats' 213, and the sitting president's party tends to lose seats in midterm elections.
That means that control of the House could come down to just a few races.
Projections for the six states that have essentially locked in their efforts — Texas, California, Ohio, Missouri, North Carolina and Utah — show Republicans set to gain a net one to four seats in November and any gains from Democrats likely cancelled out by Republican wins.
Between the lines: Of the six, California and Utah were the only states where Republicans weren't favored in redistricting efforts.Democrat-led states are enacting their own redistricting in contrast to what the GOP is doing — and California did it successfully — but several Democratic leaders find their hands tied by independent redistricting commissions they had once championed.
