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Friday, October 7, 2022

Election Deniers Take Over GOP

 Our book is titled Divided We Stand: The 2020 Elections and American Politics.  Among other things, it discusses the state of the partiesThe state of the GOP is not good. Trump and his minions falsely claimed that he won the election, and have kept repeating the Big Lie And we now know how close he came to subverting the Constitution.  

Amy Gardner at WP:
A majority of Republican nominees on the ballot this November for the House, Senate and key statewide offices — 299 in all — have denied or questioned the outcome of the last presidential election, according to a Washington Post analysis.

Candidates who have challenged or refused to accept Joe Biden’s victory — 53 percent of the 569 analyzed by The Post — are running in every region of the country and in nearly every state. Republican voters in three states nominated election deniers in all federal and statewide races The Post examined.

Although some are running in heavily Democratic areas and are expected to lose, most of the election deniers nominated are likely to win: Of the nearly 300 on the ballot, 173 are running for safely Republican seats. Another 52 will appear on the ballot in tightly contested races.
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The Post has identified candidates as election deniers if they directly questioned Biden’s victory, opposed the counting of Biden’s electoral college votes, expressed support for a partisan post-election ballot review, signed on to lawsuits seeking to overturn the 2020 result, or attended or expressed support for the Jan. 6, 2021, “Stop the Steal” rally in Washington that preceded the riot at the U.S. Capitol.

Thursday, October 6, 2022

Walker Update

Our most recent book is titled Divided We Stand: The 2020 Elections and American Politics.  Among other things, it discusses state and congressional elections

Wednesday, October 5, 2022

Defund the FBI?

Our most recent book is titled Divided We Stand: The 2020 Elections and American Politics.  Among other things, it discusses state and congressional elections.  In 2020, some Democrats called for defunding the police, and Republicans pounced.  Democrats are now returning the favor.



Tuesday, October 4, 2022

Walker Abortion

Our most recent book is titled Divided We Stand: The 2020 Elections and American Politics.  Among other things, it discusses state and congressional elections

Katherine Tully McManus at Politico:

Georgia Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker says he’ll be suing The Daily Beast for its bombshell story Monday night detailing Walker’s alleged payment to an ex-girlfriend for an abortion in 2009. Roger Sollenberger’s reporting includes a receipt from the clinic, the image of a $700 personal check from Walker and a card that the check came in and conversations with the woman’s friend who cared for her after the procedure.

Walker has backed a national 15-week ban on abortion, proposed by Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), and has said repeatedly that he doesn’t see any recent for exceptions to an abortion ban, including in cases of rape, incest and when the life of the mother is at stake.

The mess got messier when first, Walker’s TikTok-famous son weighed in on Twitter, lambasting his father. And then Walker himself went on Hannity to deny the Beast’s story.

“I never asked anyone to get an abortion. I never paid for an abortion, and it’s a lie,” he said on Hannity. Asked about the check, Walker said, “I send money to a lot of people.”

Why this might not matter: We’ve seen this before. Sure, some anti-abortion politicians who encourage their own partners to get abortions end up flaming out when the news breaks. But there are also survivors. During the 2012 general election, documents made public from Tennessee Republican Rep. Scott DesJarlais’ 2001 divorce proceedings revealed that the anti-abortion physician encouraged his then-wife and a mistress (who was also a patient) to have abortions. He won reelection that year, and is still in Congress today.

Monday, October 3, 2022

Demographic Divides as the Midterm Approaches

In Defying the Odds, we talk about the social and economic divides that enabled Trump to enter the White House. In Divided We Stand, we discuss how these divides played out in 2020.

Ruy Teixeira | Karlyn Bowman | Nate Moore at AEI:

This is the third issue of an AEIdeas series that focuses on elections and demographic voting patterns. During the 2022 campaign, we look weekly at demographic subgroup averages from a month of polls. As we get closer to Election Day, several major pollsters are using a tighter screen to give us information on who will actually turn out to vote. These tighter screens can make a difference. Take the ABC News/Washington Post poll out this week. On the generic ballot question in the poll, Republicans led by a single percentage point among registered voters. But among likely voters, Republicans led by five. Emerson had the race tied among likely voters. While enthusiasm is high in both parties, the real question is who will actually decide to vote.
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Key Findings
  • College-educated voters continue their march into the Democratic column. Over the last six weeks, the Democratic margin among these voters has climbed an impressive 8.2 points, though their lead still lags a couple points behind Biden’s 2020 performance with highly educated voters. Democrats remain at a six-point disadvantage among non-college voters, a gap that has grown since the implementation of likely voter screens.
  • With white college-educated voters in particular, Democrats appear to be actually improving their margins over 2020, with a 12-point advantage on the generic congressional measure compared to an eight-point lead for Biden last election.
  • Democrats, however, are not the only party confronting education polarization. This week’s Washington Post/ABC News Poll showed a startling divergence in Republican views towards a Donald Trump campaign in 2024. Those without a college degree support the former president by 17 points, but voters with a degree prefer someone else by 37 points—a 54-point education gap.
  • A new Grinnell College/Selzer & Company poll shows similar movement away from Trump’s brand of politics. In their survey, less than half of Republicans identified themselves as MAGA Republicans. Nevertheless, a recent Monmouth poll finds that 61 percent of Republicans believe that Biden’s victory was fraudulent—a figure that has remained remarkably consistent since November of 2020.
  • Democrats continue to lag behind their 2020 performance among Hispanic and white non-college voters. Emerson, Morning Consult, and YouGov all place the Democratic lead among Hispanics at less than 18 points, well below Biden’s 25-point margin in 2020.

Sunday, October 2, 2022

Republicans Hoist White Flag on Obamacare

Our most recent book is titled Divided We Stand: The 2020 Elections and American Politics.  Among other things, it discusses state and congressional elections

Sahil Kapur at NBC: 

Republicans are abandoning their long crusade to repeal the Affordable Care Act, making the 2022 election the first in more than a decade that won’t be fought over whether to protect or undo President Barack Obama’s signature achievement.

The diminished appetite for repeal means the law — which has extended health care coverage to millions of people and survived numerous near-death experiences in Congress and the courts — now appears safer than ever.

With slightly more than a month before the next election, Republicans in Congress and on the campaign trail aren’t making an issue of Obamacare. None of the Republican Senate nominees running in eight key battleground states have called for unwinding the ACA on their campaign websites, according to an NBC News review. The candidates scarcely mention the 2010 law or health insurance policy in general. And in interviews on Capitol Hill, key GOP lawmakers said the desire for repeal has faded.

Saturday, October 1, 2022

Trump Threatens McConnell, Hurls Racist Slur Against Elaine Chao

 Our forthcoming book is titled Divided We Stand: The 2020 Elections and American Politics.  Among other things, it discusses the state of the parties.  The de facto leader of the GOP makes death threats against the party's Senate leader and hurls racist slurs against his wife.