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Defying the Odds

Defying the Odds
New book about the 2016 election.

Thursday, October 25, 2018

Half Past Trump: The 2018 Midterm Elections

Half Past Trump: The 2018 Midterm Elections
Athenaeum, October 25, 2018


The O. Henry Ad:





The Funny Ad:



The Inspiring Ad:




Approval:  the losses are more severe when the president is unpopular. And despite a recent uptick, Trump remains unpopular.


rakich-trump-approval-0213_net








SCENARIO ONE -- WITH THE ODDS:  DEMS PICK UP 25-35 HOUSE SEATS, NO NET CHANGE IN SENATE

SCENARIO TWO -- GOOD REPUBLICAN NIGHT:  DEMS PICK UP 15-20 HOUSE SEATS, GOP GAINS 2-3 SENATE SEATS

SCENARIO THREE -- GREAT DEMOCRATIC NIGHT:  DEMS PICK UP 40+ HOUSE SEATS, NET 3+ SENATE SEATS.