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Defying the Odds

Defying the Odds
New book about the 2016 election.

Saturday, October 29, 2011

Bullock Leads in Montana

Politico reports:

A new Democratic poll being released Thursday shows a competitive race for the open gubernatorial seat in Montana, with the leading candidates from both parties largely undefined to voters a year from the election.

Higher favorability ratings propel Attorney General Steve Bullock to a 4-point lead over former GOP Rep. Rick Hill, according to the survey by Project New West.

Bullock, a Democrat, takes 42 percent to Hill's 38 percent, according to the Oct. 2-Oct. 4 poll of 500 voters.

Bullock enjoys a larger advantage on personal favorability, with 32 percent of voters giving him a positive rating, compared to just 17 percent for Hill. Still, in each case, a majority of voters registered no opinion or were neutral. Bullock is better known statewide, with 61 percent able to identify him, compared to just 50 percent who know Hill.

The memo, provided to POLITICO, argues that Hill has a problem with "upside-down" favorability.